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Archive for the ‘Scenarios’ Category

Penetrating international markets.

In Scenarios, Strategy on March 23, 2009 at 9:14 pm

wholesale-distributionThere are some tracks to follow before penetrating new international markets and they are:
1. Researching and studying international markets
2. Preparing international products
3. Managing exports services
4. Exports pricing strategies
5. International distribution channels
6. International marketing and distribution

The entrepreneur must hire people to do task 1. Its managing team must deal with tasks 2 and 4. A good import/export dealer can offer good services at task 3, looking for the best opportunities for you, at the best price.

Tasks 5 and 6
, however, must be managed by yourself or, if your company is more than 500 employees, for your CEO, even if a consultant can present you a good study on the distribution channels and marketing structure.

We do jobs like that for entrepreneurs but always we went with them to visit the fairs of the segments he operates with because he must have the feeling of what is going on. Studies, even with field data, can be a good first step but they are not the reality itself.

I remember a research I have made for a new product and material for an european company. I told them, in the end, that it was imperative for them to interview personally two or three persons I would indicate, to better evaluate the strategic recomendation I was pointing. They did not believe and started business anyway. Sometime later, they had to abandon the country. The lack of the correct strategy made them loose money and do not consolidate their position.

The depth interviews and other techniques I used pointed to a bad disclosure, if the right strategy was not followed. It was hard to believe as the considered market was huge. But they could not feel this as a reality as they did not meet those real people I have indicated. They were the best example of what th market was thinking. The other interviews and data I gave them would help the first right steps but would not replace the feeling.

That is why I repeat: tasks nr. 5 and 6 must be followed personally by the entrepreneur or the main decision person.

mari.beltrami@hotmail.com

Fairs to the unemployed

In International Fair, Scenarios on February 13, 2009 at 4:57 pm

feira-jobs-china30% of houses has an unemployed person in the estate of São Paulo now. The latest release from the U.S Department of Labor states that around 600 thousand employees lost their jobs in last January. It seems to be a desperate situation but there are solutions. Obama considered this information as a “devastating” one and claimed that the U.S. Senate’s delay to approve the package of $800 billion to stimulate the economy can be regarded as “irresponsible”.

There is a global consensus that we need a way to solve it. Fortunately there are creative actions taking place aiming at to fight against this problem.

Several governments are implementing urgent programs to face the problem.
China launched in November 2008 a week campaign designed to help the graduated from the Universities to get jobs in the turmoil of the world financing crisis. It was impressive the mass of people that attended this call. This recruiting and job fair offered more than 520 thousand jobs for these graduates. This figure reminds us of the number of posts lost in January in the U.S. Look to the meaningful iniciative a government can take in a crisis like that.

Identical fairs are being promoted by governments worldwide as a way to give to the massive unemployed people a chance to survive during these difficult times.

ferreira.ronaldo1@gmail.com

China: Brazil, 2nd largest trading partner

In Foreign trade, Scenarios on February 11, 2009 at 9:54 am

china1Just behind United States, Brazil’s trade with China reached U.S. $ 36,443 billion, in 2008, representing an increase of 56% over the previous year’s result. In that same period, trade with Argentina was US$ 30,863 billion, with growth of 24% while thetrade with USA increased 21% to U.S. $ 53,049 billion.

Among the three main partners, China is the only one that caused a trade deficit, exporting more than importing from Brazil in 2008. The export of Brazilian manufacturing products to China was only U.S. $ 1.1 billion and this is an area we should work with. Despite it is a deficit probably found in many countries, we should apply strategic approach to it in order to find new ways to make a good partnership with them and thru this find a solution. We have a lot of things to put on the table: cotton, excellent design knowledge, fantastic ad industry and so on.

Despite the negative balance, the volume is increasing and we can say that in 2000 started the decade where China and Brazil discovered each other.

mari.beltrami@hotmail.com

Where are the opportunities?

In Foreign trade, Scenarios, Strategy on February 5, 2009 at 8:52 pm

chinese-ideogram-for-crisisAm I boring you if remembering the Chinese popular old saying: whenever a crisis shows up, somehow an opportunity possibly will somewhere be available?

If so, excuse me but I have to say it again. Nations are struggling to survive. Industries are promoting an escalating unemployment, causing a great deal of stress in the life of many families. The crisis is at our door definitively.

The hard times are affecting even the billionaires. The Russian tycoon Roman Abramovich is reported to have lost approximately 60% of his net worth in the stock exchange, which is making him to consider selling the British Chelsea Football Club or his yacht Pelorus, among other actions, aiming at to start his recovering process. The same huge losses in the stock exchange happened to the Brazilian billionaire Eike Batista forcing him to postpone temporarily his investments to build ports in Brazilian states.
It is a fact that the remaining balance of their wealthy will enable them to keep their higher standard of living while waiting their stocks to recover to their former value.

But not everybody will have this chance to make ends meet so easily. Specialists predict a three year term for this world crisis. Assuming they are right, you have to establish an immediate proactive approach to overcome these difficult times.

With many companies going bankrupt, you have to give a look to the markets, widening your international work area. A step that must be in your 2009 calendar necessarily: visiting international fairs and attend commercial missions abroad, looking for new alliances, knowing potential clients and thus trying to take advantage of the new demands that the world will present.

There is a time to wait and a time to go forward. Now you have to start up immediately. Define your strategy considering the Chinese saying.

ferreira.ronaldo1@gmail.com

African economy: investments on the road.

In Foreign trade, Scenarios, Strategy on February 3, 2009 at 8:25 pm

photo_lg_tunisiaDespite bad perspectives for African economy due to the present crisis, Christian Cornille, CEO of Aerolia, a French company, signed an agreement estimated at €60 million with the Tunisian government for the construction of a plant south of the capital Tunis, to produce front segments of Airbus planes, local news agency reported.

The plant will be ready in 2010 and probably will employ 1,500 qualified personnel. Among them, Tunisian engineers with high degree of competence. The suport of the Tunisian Government and the logistics – nearby harbour and proximity to Europe, are the main reasons, with the prepared local engineers, for this investment.

The President told journalists that Airbus had orders for some 3,700 planes throughout the world that he intendes to honour. Tunisia has a number of aeroplane parts companies which are moving into the country claiming it to be a cost reduction source due to its proximity to Europe yet companies get orders from Africa and the rest of the world.

mari.beltrami@hotmail.com

Obama and Brazil

In Foreign trade, Politics, Scenarios on January 19, 2009 at 1:09 pm

The world is welcoming the new president of the United States
of America, Mr. Barak Obama, as a president that can make a substantial change in several areas of global interest.
barak_obamaWe particularly are expecting that his policy toward the commercial relations between Brazil and his country be guided through permanent dialogue that will enable both nations to profit.

We are confident with the new breeze that the election of Mr. Obama brings since he is quite aware of the importance of Brazil in the global scenario, considering the fact that
Brazil is the fourth democracy and the ninth economy in the world and have important natural resources for the planet.

Ronaldo Ferreira – ferreira.ronaldo1@gmail.com

Brazilian export strategy for 2009.

In Foreign trade, Scenarios, Strategy on December 14, 2008 at 9:30 pm

export-competitiveness22009 will start with “Brazilian Export Strategy 2008-2010″ guidance, launched in last September and supposed to expand Brazilian competitiveness in international market .

The document arises from the outlined challenges for the growth of Brazilian exports settled in May for the Productive Development Politics: broaden the participation of Brazilian exports in 1.25% of world exports in 2010, i.e. about $ 210 billion. Another target was the increase in number of micro and small enterprises in Brazilian foreign trade.

Obstacles to face: reduction of bureaucratic costs and financing, in addition to the improvement of infrastructure. The strategy identified five macro-objectives for the expansion of Brazilian exports of goods and services:

1. Improving the competitiveness of Brazilian export base
- Ease access to credit
- Cutting red tape and facilitation of foreign trade
- Improving the infrastructure for transport

2. Aggregation of value to exports
- Encouraging innovation in enterprises
- Promote the efficiency of production chains
- Development of alternative sources of energy

3. Increased export base
Give support to micro and small enterprises (21% of the value of exports of the country), providing:
- Training and access to information
- Provision of financial support for exports of small enterprises

4. Expand access to markets
- Expanding the network of international agreements
- Strengthening of the instruments of intelligence and trade promotion
- Overcoming of non-tariff barriers to Brazilian exports (improvement of the health controls for agriculture products)
- Metrology, Quality and Conformity Assessment;
- Encouraging the internationalization of Brazilian companies (Brazil Trade Support Centers, Apex-Brasil (Brazilian Agency for the Promotion of Exports and Investments).

5. Increased exports of services
- Creation of information systems and management of the operations of foreign trade in services;
- Expansion of credits and exemption of export operations services;
- Training of professionals and services;
- Expansion, diversification and devolution of Brazilian exports of services.

Let´s be alert to see what happens in the first quarter of 2009 to analyse if this policy is for real.

mari.beltrami@hotmail.com

2009 scenario.

In Financing, Real estate, Scenarios on December 1, 2008 at 12:54 pm

serido_02People are supposed to see red light in 2009 but when you have to plan ahead a single scenario cannot be safe for your projections. I would be at the side of Warren Buffet way of thinking when planning the New Year to come. Let´s see two of his assumptions.

First, you buy when blood is in the street. One of the most impressive recent real estate launching in Brazil not is 106Serido, a luxury apartment for at least no less than 4 million reais. We are presenting this real estate opportunity to our international clients that come frequently to Brazil and do not want to live in hotels. This condo is located in one of the most sophisticated areas in Sao Paulo – Jardim Europa, and everything around this building is to make you profit from its acquisition. The two buildings, that are established in an area of 11.000m2, with apartments from 3 to 6 bedroom suites/ 4304 to 5381 sqf, and unique conveniences, will value a lot more when finished, what is supposed to happen in February 2012.

This business of ours bring another Warren Buffet thought for 2009: we are not entering dark age. Financial market is about uptrend and downtrend curves. Maniqueist vision does not apply.So, second assumption: think on a long term basis or you will not survive.

More info: www.neoimoveis.com.br/serido106

mari.beltrami@hotmail.com

No real crisis in foreign trade.

In Financing, Foreign trade, Scenarios, Strategy on November 29, 2008 at 11:11 pm

harbourcenterAt worldtrading´s blog, we are not trying to lecture you on free-trade theory. There´s no theory that can support truly real dayly events in foreign trade nowadays. Things happen and we have to try to create some theory. Just it. But you will meet us always trying hard to understand what is going on and sharing this with you.

Right now, a big crisis is phantasized in every channel and newspaper. But what is really going on is the state´s propaganda trying to make you understand that not just banks command the world but they do it too. The state is claiming its power, its place, its crown. Financing protagonists wanted to play alone and they did not like that.

If you can frame this up, so go on with your foreign trade and forget about it.

mari.beltrami@hotmail.com

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